Refereed PAPERS
(some are not available online. FOR A COMPLETE LIST GO TO PJW CV)

2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990
1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980
1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972
Manuscripts
Full Curriculum Vita

2008

Kim HM, Hoyos CD, Webster PJ, Kang IS (2008) Sensitivity of MJO simulation and predictability to sea surface temperature variability. Journal of Climate: In Press (pdf).

Han, W., P.J. Webster, J.L. Lin, W.T. Liu, R. Fu, D. Yuan, and A. Hu, 2008: Dynamics of Intraseasonal Sea Level and Thermocline Variability in the Equatorial Atlantic during 2002-03. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 38, 945-967. (pdf).

2007

Nicholson, S.E., and P. J. Webster, 2007: A physical basis for the interannual variability of rainfall in the Sahel. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. DOI: 10.1002/qj.104. (pdf).

Hoyos, C.D., and P. J. Webster, 2007: The Role of Intraseasonal Variability in the Nature of Asian Monsoon Precipitation. J. Climate, 20 (17), 4402-4424. (pdf).

Mann, M.E., K.A. Emanuel, G.J. Holland, and P. J. Webster, 2007: Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Revisited. EOS 88, 349-350 (pdf).

Holland, G.J., and P. J. Webster, 2007: Heightened tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic: natural variability or climate trend? Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A doi:10.1098/rsta.2007.2083 (pdf).

2006

Hoyos, C. D., y P. J. Webster, 2006: Estructura Espacio-temporal de la Variabilidad Intraestacional en el Tropico. Avances en Recursos Hidraulicos, 14, 3-24 (pdf).

Halkides, D. J., W. Han, and P. J. Webster, 2006: Effects of the seasonal cycle on the development and termination of the Indian Ocean Zonal Dipole Mode, J. Geophys. Res., 111, C12017, doi:10.1029/2005JC003247. (pdf).

Agudelo P. A. , J. A. Curry, C. D. Hoyos, and P. J. Webster, 2006: Transition between Suppressed and Active Phases of Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool. J. Climate, 19 (21), 5519–5530. (pdf).

Wang B, Webster P, Kikuchi K, Yasunari T, Qi Y, 2006: Boreal summer quasi-monthly oscillation in the global tropics, Clim. Dyn. 27, 661-675. (pdf).

Curry, J.A., P.J. Webster and G.J. Holland, 2006: Mixing Politics and Science in Testing the Hypothesis That Greenhouse Warming Is Causing a Global Increase in Hurricane Intensity. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 87 (8), 1025-1037. (pdf).

Hoyos C.D., P.A. Agudelo, P.J. Webster, and J.A. Curry, 2006: Deconvolution of the factors contributing to the increase in global hurricane intensity, Science, 312 (5770), 94-97. (Full text - pdf) (Suplemental Material)

Webster P.J., J.A. Curry , J. Liu, and G. J. Holland, 2006: Response to comment on "Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment", Science, 311 (5768), 1713c. (Full text - pdf)

Chirokova G., and P.J. Webster, 2006: Interannual variability of Indian Ocean heat transport. J. Climate, 19 (6), 1013–1031. (Full text - pdf)

2005

Webster, P.J., G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry, and H.-R. Chang, 2005: Changes in Tropical Cyclone Number, Duration, and Intensity in a Warming Environment, Science, 309 (5742), 1844-1846. (Full text - pdf)

Wang B., P. J. Webster, H. Teng, 2005: Antecedents and self-induction of active-break south Asian monsoon unraveled by satellites, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L04704, doi:10.1029/2004GL020996. (Full text - pdf)

2004

Webster, P. J, and C. Hoyos, 2004: Prediction of Monsoon Rainfall and River Discharge on 15-30 day Time Scales. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 85 (11), 1745-1765. (pdf)

Quan, X. W., P. J. Webster, A. M. Moore, H. R. Chang, 2004: Seasonality in SST-Forced Atmospheric Short-Term Climate Predictability. J. Climate, 17 (16), 3090–3108. (pdf)

Han, W., P. Webster, R. Lukas, P. Hacker, A. Hu, 2004: Impact of Atmospheric Intraseasonal Variability in the Indian Ocean: Low-Frequency Rectification in Equatorial Surface Current and Transport. J. Phys. Ocean.,. 34 (6) 1350–1372. (pdf)

Stephens, G. L., P. J. Webster, R. H. Johnson, R. Engelen, T. L'Ecuyer, 2004: Observational Evidence for the Mutual Regulation of the Tropical Hydrological Cycle and Tropical Sea Surface Temperatures. J. Climate: 17(11), 2213–2224. (pdf)

J. A. Curry, Bentamy A., Bourassa M. A.,Bourras D.,Bradley E. F.,Brunke M., Castro S. ,Chou S. H.,Clayson C. A.,Emery W. J. ,Eymard L., Fairall C. W. , Kubota M., Lin B., Perrie W. , Reeder R. A., Renfrew I. A., Rossow W. B., Schulz J., Smith S. R., Webster P. J. , Wick G. A. , and Zeng X., 2004: SEAFLUX. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 85 (3), 409–424. (pdf)

2003

Fasullo, J., and P. J., Webster, 2003: A hydrological definition of the Indian summer monsoon onset and withdrawal. J. Climate, 16 (19), 3200–3211. (pdf)

Loschnigg, J., G. A. Meehl, P. J. Webster, J. M. Arblaster, G. P. Compo, 2003: The Asian monsoon, the tropospheric biennial oscillation and the Indian ocean dipole in the NCAR CSM. J. Climate, 16 (11), pp. 1617–1642. (pdf)

Clark, C. O., P. J. Webster, and J. E. Cole, 2003: Interdecadal Variability of the Relationship between the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode and East African Coastal Rainfall Anomalies. J. Climate, 16 (3), 548-554. (pdf)

2002

Webster, P. J., E. F. Bradley, C. W. Fairall, J. S. Godfrey, P. Hacker, R. A. Hopuze jr., R. Lukas, Y. Serra, J. M. Hummon, T. D. M. Lawrence, C. A. Russel, M. N. Ryan, K. sahami, P. Zuidema, 2002: The Joint Air-Sea Monsoon Interaction Experiment (JASMINE) Pilot Study. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 83, 1603-1630. (pdf)

Fasullo, J., and P. J., Webster, 2002: Hydrologic signatures relating the Asian summer monsoon and ENSO, J. Climate, 15, (21), pp. 3082–3095. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., C. Clark, G. Cherikova, J. Fasullo, W. Han, J. Loschnigg, and K. Sahami, 2002: “The Monsoon as a self-regulating coupled ocean-atmosphere system.” Meteorology at the Millennium. International Geophysical Series, Volume 83, Academic press, 198-219.(Draft - ps) (Draft - pdf)

Han, W. and P. J. Webster, 2002: Forcing mechanisms of sea-level interannual variability in the Bay of Bengal. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 32, 216-239. (pdf)

Lawrence, D, and P. J. Webster, 2002: The boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation and the South Asian monsoon. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 1593-1606. (pdf)

2001

Han, W., D. Lawrence, and P. J. Webster, 2001: Dynamical response of equatorial Indian Ocean to intraseasonal winds: Zonal flow. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28, 4215-4218. (pdf)

Holland, G.H., P.J. Webster, J. A. Curry, et al., 2001: The Aerosonde robotic aircraft: A new paradigm for environmental observations. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 82(5), 889-991. (pdf)

Lawrence, D, and P. J. Webster, 2001: Interannual variability of intraseasonal convection and the Asian monsoon. J. Clim., 14(3), 2910-2922. (pdf)

2000

Fasullo, J. T. and P. J. Webster, 2000: Atmospheric and surface variations during westerly wind bursts in the Tropical western Pacific. Q. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 126, 899-924. (pdf)

Clark, C. O., J. E. Cole and P. J. Webster, 2000: Indian Ocean SST and Indian Summer Rainfall: Predictive Relationships and Their Decadal Variability. J. Clim., 13, 2503-2519. (pdf)

Loschnigg, J. and P. J. Webster, 2000: A coupled ocean-atmosphere system of SST regulation for the Indian Ocean. J. Clim., 13, 3342-3360. (pdf)

Torrence, C. and Peter. J. Webster, 2000: Comment on "The connection between the Boreal Spring Southern Oscillation Persistence Barrier and Biennial Variability," by A. J. Clarke and S. Van Gorder. J. Clim., 13, 665-667. (pdf)

Wheeler, M., G. Kilidas and P. J. Webster, 2000: Large-scale dynamical fields associated with convectively-coupled equatorial waves. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 613-640. (pdf)

1999

Tomas, R., J. R. Holton and P. J. Webster, 1999: The influence of cross-equatorial pressure gradient on the location of near-equatorial convection. Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 1107-1127. (pdf)

Compo, G., G. Kilidas and P. Webster, 1998: The horizontal and vertical structure of east Asian Winter Monsoon pressure surges. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 125, 29-54. (pdf)

Curry, J. A., C. A. Clayson, W. B. Rossow, R. Reeder, Y.C. Zhang, P. J. Webster, G. Liu, and R. S. Sheu, 1999: High-resolution satellite-derived dataset of the surface fluxes of heat, freshwater and momentum for the TOGA COARE IOP. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 80, 2059-2080. (pdf)

Duane, G., P. J. Webster and J. Weiss, 1999: Co-occurrence of northern and southern hemisphere blocks as partially synchronized chaos. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 4183-4205. (pdf)

Fasullo, J. T. and P. J. Webster, 1999: Warm pool sea surface temperature variability in relation to the surface energy balance. J. Clim., 12, 1292-1305. (pdf)

Torrence, C. and P. J. Webster, 1999: Interdecadal changes in the ENSO-Monsoon System. J. Clim., 12, 2679-2690. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., A. Moore, J. Loschnigg and M. Leban: 1999: Coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics in the Indian Ocean during 1997-98. Nature, 401, 23 September, 1999, 356-360. (pdf)

1998

Anderson, D. L. T., E. S. Sarachik and P. J. Webster, 1998: The TOGA decade: a preface. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 14,167. (pdf)

Torrence, C. and P. J. Webster, 1998: The Annual Cycle of Persistence in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Q. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 124, 1985-2004. (Draft - ps) (Draft - pdf)

Webster, P.J., Magana V.O., Palmer, T.N., Shukla, J., Tomas, R.A., Yanai, M., and Yasunari, T. 1998: Monsoons: Processes, predictability,and the prospects for prediction J. Geophys. Res. vol. 103 no. c7 (TOGA special issue), June 29, 14451-14510. (pdf) (Manuscript - pdf) (html)

Hendersen-Sellers A., H. Zhang, G. Berz, K. Emanuel, W. Gray, C. Landsea, G. Holland, J. Lighthill, S. Shieh, P. Webster, K. McGriffuie, 1998: Tropical Cyclones and Global Change: A Post-IPCC Assessment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79, 19-38. (pdf)

1997

Tomas, R. and P. J. Webster, 1997: The role of inertial instability in determining the location and strenght of near-equatorial convection: . Quar. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 123, 1445-1482. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and T. N. Palmer, 1997: The past and future of El Nino. Nature, December 12, 390, 562-564. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., and H-. R. Chang, 1997: Atmospheric wave propagation in heterogeneous flow: Basic flow constraints on tropical-extratropical interaction and equatorial wave modification. Dyn. Oceans and Atmos., 27, 91-134. (pdf)

1996

Webster, P. J., C. A. Clayson and J. A. Curry, 1996: Clouds, radiation and the diurnal cycle of sea surface temperature in the tropical western Pacific Ocean. J. Clim., 9, 1712-1730. (pdf)

Wainer I., and P. J. Webster, 1996: Monsoon-ENSO relationships in a simple coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. Geophys. Res., 101, 25,599-25,614. (pdf)

1995

Webster, P. J., 1995: The annual cycle and the predictability of the tropical coupled ocean-atmosphere system. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 56, 33-55. (pdf)

Gosnell, R., C. Fairall, and P. Webster, 1995: The Sensible Heat of Rain. J. Geophys. Res., 100, 18437-18442. (pdf)

Chang, H-. R., and P. J. Webster, 1995: Energy Accumulation and Emanation at Low Latitudes. Part III: Forward and Backward Accumulation. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 2384-2403. (pdf)

1994

Webster, P. 1994: The Role of Hydrological Processes in Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction. Rev. of Geophys., 32, 427-476. (pdf)

Reynolds, C., P. J. Webster, and E. Kalnay, 1994: Random error growth in the numerical prediction models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 1281-1305. (pdf)

Tomas, R. and P. J. Webster, 1994: Vertical and Horizontal Structure of Cross-equatorial Wave Propagation. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 1417-1430. (pdf)

1992

Webster, P. J., and M. Dong, 1992: The Structure of Low Frequency Phenomena in the Tropics and Its Interactions with the Extratropics. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 10, 303-334. (pdf)

Yang, S., P. J. Webster, and M. Dong, 1992: Longitudinal Heating Gradient: Another possible factor influencing the intensity of the Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 9, 397-410. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and S. Yang, 1992: Monsoon and ENSO: Selectively Interactive Systems. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 118, 877-926. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., and R. Lukas, 1992: TOGA-COARE: The Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Response Experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73, 1377-1416. (pdf)

Zhang, C. and P. J. Webster, 1992: Laterally Forced Equatorial Waves in Mean Zonal Flows. Part I: Stationary Transient Forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 585-607. (pdf)

1991

Webster, P. J., and R. A. Houze, Jr., 1991: The Equatorial Mesoscale Experiment, EMEX. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 72, 1481-1505. (pdf)

1990

Chang, H. -R. and P. J. Webster, 1990: Energy Accumulation and Emanation at Low Latitudes. Part II: Nonlinear Response to Strong Episodic Forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 2624-2644. (pdf)

1989

Webster, P. J., and S. Yang, 1989: The Three-Dimensional Structure of Perturbation Kinetic Energy and Its Relationship to the Zonal Wind. J. Clim., 2, 1186-1198. (pdf)

Zhang, C. and P. J. Webster, 1989: Effects of Zonal Flows on the Equatorially Trapped Waves. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 3632-3652. (pdf)

1988

Webster, P. J., and H. -R. Chang, 1988: Energy Accumulation and Emanation Regions at Low Latitudes: Impacts of a Zonally Varying Basic State. J. Atmos. Sci. , 45, 803-829. (pdf)

1985

Arkin, P., and P. J. Webster, 1985: Annual and Interannual Variability of Tropical-Extratropical Interactions: An Empirical Study. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 1510-1523. (pdf)

1984

Webster, P. J., 1984: The Climate-CO2 Controversy: Some Personal Comments. Climatic Change, 6, 377-390. (pdf)

Stephens, G. L., and P. J. Webster, 1984: Cloud Decoupling of the Surface and Planetary Radiative Budgets. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 681-686. (pdf)

1983

Webster, P. J., 1983: Mechanisms of Monsoon Transition: Surface Hydrology Effects. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 2110-2124. (pdf)

1982

Webster, P. J., 1982: Seasonality of Atmospheric Response to Sea-Surface Temperature Anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci., 39, 29-40. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., and J. R. Holton, 1982: Wave Propagation Through a Zonally Varying Basic Flow: The Influences of Mid-Latitude Forcing in the Equatorial Regions. J. Atmos. Sci., 39, 722-733. (pdf)

1981

Webster, P. J., 1981: Mechanisms Determining the Atmospheric Response to Large-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 554-571. (pdf)

Stephens, G. L., and P. J. Webster, 1981: Clouds and Climate: Sensitivity of Simple Systems. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 235-245. (pdf)

1980

Webster, P. J. and L. C. Chou, 1980: Low-Frequency Transitions of a Simple Monsoon System. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 368-382. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., and L. C. Chou, 1980: Seasonal Structure of a Simple Monsoon System. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 354-367. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., and G. L. Stephens, 1980: Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Extended Clouds: Inferences from Winter MONEX. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 1521-1541. (pdf)

1979

Stephens, G. L., and P. J. Webster, 1979: Sensitivity of Radiative Forcing to Va980a.pdf">(pdf)

1979

Stephens, G. L., and P. J. Webster, 1979: Sensitivity of Radiative Forcing to Variable Cloud and Moisture. J. Atmos. Sci., 36, 1542-1556. (pdf)

1977

Webster, P. J., 1977: The Low-Latitude Circulation of Mars. ICARUS, 30, 626-664. (Abstract - pdf)

Webster, P. J., and K. M. W. Lau, 1977: A Simple Ocean-Atmosphere Climate Model: Basic Model and a Simple Experiment. J. Atmos. Sci., 34, 1065-1084 . (pdf)

1976

Leovy, C. B., and P. J. Webster, 1976: Stratospheric Long Waves: Comparisons of Thermal Structure in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 33, 1141-1154.(Full text - pdf) (Reply)

1975

Webster, P. J., and D. G. Curtin, 1975: Interpretation of the EOLE Experiment: (II) Spatial Variation of Stationary and Transient Modes. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 1848-1863. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., and J. L. Keller, 1975: Atmospheric Variations, Vacillation and Index Cycles. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 1283-1300. (pdf)

1974

Webster, P. J., and D. G. Curtin, 1974: Interpretations of the EOLE Experiment: (I) Temporal Variations of Eulerian Quantities. J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 1860 -1875. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., and J. L. Keller, 1974: A Strong Long-Period Tropospheric and Stratospheric Rhythm in the Southern Hemisphere. Nature, 248, 212-213. (Full text - pdf)

1973

Webster, P. J., 1973: Remote Forcing of the Time-Independent Tropical Atmosphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 101, 58-68. (Full text - pdf) (Abstract - pdf)

Webster, P. J., 1973: Temporal Variation of Low-Latitude Zonal Circulations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 101, 793-806. (Full text - pdf) (Abstract - pdf)

1972

Webster, P. J. 1972: Response of the Tropical Atmosphere to Local Steady Forcing. Mon. Wea. Rev., 100, 518-541. (Full text - pdf) (Abstract - pdf)

MANUSCRIPTS

P.J. Webster, E.F. Bradley, C.W. Fairall, J.S.Godfrey, P. Hacker, R.A. Houze Jr., R. Lukas, Y.Serra, J.M. Humman, T.D.M. Lawrence, C.A. Russell, M.N. Ryan,
K. Sahami, and P. Zuidema, 2002: The Joint Air-Sea Monsoon Interaction Experiment (JASMINE): Exploring Intraseasonal Variability in the South Asian Monsoon. (Manuscript - pdf) Figures (Figures - pdf)

Peter J. Webster, 2002: JASMINE: The Scientific Basis. (Manuscript - ps) (Manuscript - pdf) (Figures - pdf)

P.J. Webster, E.F. Bradley, C.W. Fairall, J.S.Godfrey, P. Hacker, R.A. Houze Jr., R. Lukas, Y.Serra, J.M. Humman, T.D.M. Lawrence, C.A. Russell, M.N. Ryan,
K. Sahami, and P. Zuidema, 2002: JASMINE: The Field Phase. (Manuscript - ps) (Manuscript - pdf) (Figures - pdf)

J. Loschnigg and P.J. Webster, 2001: Interannual Variability in an Indian Ocean Basin Model, Submitted to J. Climate. (Manuscript - pdf)

Webster, P.J., Loschnigg J.P. ,Moore, A.M., and Leben, R.R., The Great Indian Ocean Warming of 1997--1998: Evidence of Coupled Oceanic-Atmospheric Instabilities (html). Supplementary Figures (ps format):Fig 1., Fig 2., Fig 3., Fig 4., Fig 5.

CLIVAR Monsoon Presentation: Monsoons, V.O.Magana and P.J. Webster, CLIVAR Conference, Paris, December 1-3, 1998. (Manuscript - ps) (Manuscript - pdf)

CLIVAR Report: The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: A Prospectus for a Research Program (Draft) Recommendations from the St. Michael's, Maryland, Monsoon Workshop, July 28-30, 1998. (ps) (pdf)

COARE Abstracts through October 1997. (ps) (pdf)