2009

Hopson, T.M., and P.J. Webster, 2009: A 1-10 day ensemble forecasting scheme for the major river basins of Bangladesh: forecasting severe floods of 2003-2007. J. Hydromet. In press. (pdf)

Kim, H.-M., P.J. Webster and J.A. Curry, 2009: Impact of Shifting Patterns of Pacific Ocean Warming on North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones. Science, 325, 77-80. (pdf)

Kim, H.-M., C.D. Hoyos, P.J. Webster and I.S. Kang, 2009: Ocean–atmosphere coupling and the boreal winter MJO. Clim. Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0612-x (pdf)

Jian, J., P.J. Webster and C.D. Hoyos, 2009: Large-scale controls on Ganges and Brahmaputra river discharge on intraseasonal and seasonal time-scales. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 135: 353–370. (pdf)

Toma, V., and P.J. Webster, 2009: Oscillations of the intertropical convergence zone and the genesis of easterly waves. Part I: diagnostics and theory Climate Dynamics doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0584-x (pdf)

Toma, V. and P.J. Webster, 2009: Oscillations of the Intertropical Convergence Zone and the genesis of easterly waves Part II: numerical verification Climate Dynamics doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0585-9 (pdf)

2008

Han, W., P. J. Webster, J. L. Lin, W. T. Liu, R. Fu, D. Yuan and A. Hu, 2008: Dynamics of Intraseasonal Sea Level and Thermocline Variability in the Equatorial Atlantic during 2002-03. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 38, 945-967. (pdf)

Agudelo, P. A., C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry, 2008: Application of a serial extended forecast experiment using the ECMWF model to interpret the predictive skill of tropical intraseasonal variability. Climate Dynamics. doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0447-x (pdf)

Kim, H. M., C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster and I. S. Kang, 2008: Sensitivity of MJO simulation and predictability to sea surface temperature variability. J. Climate, 21, 5304–5317. doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2078.1 (pdf)

Webster, P. J. , 2008: Myanmar's deadly daffodil. Nature Geoscience doi: 10.1038/ngeo257 (pdf)

2007

Holland, G. J. and P. J. Webster, 2007: Heightened tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic: natural variability or climate trend? Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2083 (pdf)

Mann, M. E., K. An Emanuel, G. J. Holland and P. J. Webster, 2007: Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Revisited. EOS 88, 349-350 (pdf)

Hoyos, C. D. and P. J. Webster, 2007: The Role of Intraseasonal Variability in the Nature of Asian Monsoon Precipitation. J. Climate, 20 (17), 4402-4424. (pdf)

Nicholson, S. E. and P. J. Webster, 2007: A physical basis for the interannual variability of rainfall in the Sahel. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. doi: 10.1002/qj.104. (pdf)

2006

Chriokova, G. and P. J. Webster, 2006: Interannual variability of Indian Ocean heat transport. J. Climate, 19 (6), 1013–1031. (Full text - pdf)

Webster, P. J., J. A. Curry, J. Liu and G. J. Holland, 2006: Response to comment on "Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment", Science, 311 (5768), 1713c. (Full text - pdf)

Hoyos, C. D., P. A. Agudelo, P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry, 2006: Deconvolution of the factors contributing to the increase in global hurricane intensity, Science, 312 (5770), 94-97. (Full text - pdf) Supplemental Material

Curry, J. A., P. J. Webster and G. J. Holland, 2006: Mixing Politics and Science in Testing the Hypothesis That Greenhouse Warming Is Causing a Global Increase in Hurricane Intensity. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 87 (8), 1025-1037. (pdf)

Wang, B., P. Webster, K. Kikuchi, T. Yasunari and Y. Qi, 2006: Boreal summer quasi-monthly oscillation in the global tropics, Clim. Dyn. 27, 661-675. (pdf)

Agudelo, P. A., J. A. Curry, C. D. Hoyos and P. J. Webster, 2006: Transition between Suppressed and Active Phases of Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool. J. Climate, 19 (21), 5519–5530. (pdf)

Halkides, D. J., W. Han and P. J. Webster, 2006: Effects of the seasonal cycle on the development and termination of the Indian Ocean Zonal Dipole Mode. J. Geophys. Res., 111, C12017, doi: 10.1029/2005JC003247. (pdf)

Hoyos, C. D. and P. J. Webster, 2006: Estructura Espacio-temporal de la Variabilidad Intraestacional en el Tropico. Avances en Recursos Hidraulicos, 14, 3-24 (pdf)

2005

Wang, B., P. J. Webster and H. Teng, 2005: Antecedents and self-induction of active-break south Asian monsoon unraveled by satellites, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L04704, doi: 10.1029/2004GL020996. (Full text - pdf)

Webster, P. J., G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry and H. -R. Chang, 2005: Changes in Tropical Cyclone Number, Duration, and Intensity in a Warming Environment, Science, 309 (5742), 1844-1846. (Full text - pdf)

2004

Quan, X. W., P. J. Webster, A. M. Moore and H. R. Chang, 2004: Seasonality in SST-Forced Atmospheric Short-Term Climate Predictability. J. Climate, 17 (16), 3090–3108. (pdf)

Curry, J. A., A. Bentamy, M. A. Bourassa, D. Bourras, E. F. Bradley, M. Brunke, S. Castro, S. H. Chou, C. A. Clayson, W. J. Emery, L. Eymard, C. W. Fairall, M. Kubota, B. Lin, W. Perrie, R. A. Reeder, I. A. Renfrew, W. B. Rossow, J. Schulz, S. R. Smith, P. J. Webster, G. A. Wick and X. Zeng, 2004: SEAFLUX Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 85 (3), 409-424. (pdf)

Stephens, G. L., P. J. Webster, R. H. Johnson, R. Engelen and T. L'Ecuyer, 2004: Observational Evidence for the Mutual Regulation of the Tropical Hydrological Cycle and Tropical Sea Surface Temperatures. J. Climate: 17(11), 2213–2224. (pdf)

Han, W., P. Webster, R. Lukas, P. Hacker and A. Hu, 2004: Impact of Atmospheric Intraseasonal Variability in the Indian Ocean: Low-Frequency Rectification in Equatorial Surface Current and Transport. J. Phys. Ocean.,. 34 (6) 1350–1372. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and C. Hoyos, 2004: Prediction of Monsoon Rainfall and River Discharge on 15-30 day Time Scales. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 85 (11), 1745-1765. (pdf)

2003

Clark, C. O., P. J. Webster and J. E. Cole, 2003: Interdecadal Variability of the Relationship between the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode and East African Coastal Rainfall Anomalies. J. Climate, 16 (3), 548-554. (pdf)

Loschnigg, J., G. A. Meehl, P. J. Webster, J. M. Arblaster and G. P. Compo, 2003: The Asian monsoon, the tropospheric biennial oscillation and the Indian ocean dipole in the NCAR CSM. J. Climate, 16 (11), pp. 1617–1642. (pdf)

Fasullo, J. and P. J. Webster, 2003: A hydrological definition of the Indian summer monsoon onset and withdrawal. J. Climate, 16 (19), 3200–3211. (pdf)

2002

Lawrence, D. and P. J. Webster, 2002: The boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation and the South Asian monsoon. J. Atmos. Sci., 59, 1593-1606. (pdf)

Han, W. and P. J. Webster, 2002: Forcing mechanisms of sea-level interannual variability in the Bay of Bengal. J. Phys. Oceanogr. 32, 216-239. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., C. Clark, G. Cherikova, J. Fasullo, W. Han, J. Loschnigg and K. Sahami, 2002: "The Monsoon as a self-regulating coupled ocean-atmosphere system." Meteorology at the Millennium. International Geophysical Series, Volume 83, Academic press, 198-219. (Draft - pdf) (Draft - ps)

Fasullo, J. and P. J. Webster, 2002: Hydrologic signatures relating the Asian summer monsoon and ENSO, J. Climate, 15, (21), pp. 3082–3095. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., E. F. Bradley, C. W. Fairall, J. S. Godfrey, P. Hacker, R. A. Hopuze Jr., R. Lukas, Y. Serra, J. M. Hummon, T. D. M. Lawrence, C. A. Russel, M. N. Ryan, K. Sahami and P. Zuidema, 2002: The Joint Air-Sea Monsoon Interaction Experiment (JASMINE) Pilot Study. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 83, 1603-1630. (pdf)

2001

Lawrence D. and P. J. Webster, 2001: Interannual variability of intraseasonal convection and the Asian monsoon. J. Clim., 14(3), 2910-2922.

Holland, G. H., P. J. Webster, J. A. Curry and et al., 2001: The Aerosonde robotic aircraft: A new paradigm for environmental observations. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 82(5), 889-991. (pdf)

Han, W., D. Lawrence and P. J. Webster, 2001: Dynamical response of equatorial Indian Ocean to intraseasonal winds: Zonal flow. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28, 4215-4218. (pdf)

2000

Fasullo, J. T. and P. J. Webster, 2000: Atmospheric and surface variations during westerly wind bursts in the Tropical western Pacific. Q. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 126, 899-924.

Wheeler, M., G. Kilidas and P. J. Webster, 2000: Large-scale dynamical fields associated with convectively-coupled equatorial waves. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 613-640. (pdf)

Torrence, C. and Peter J. Webster, 2000: Comment on "The connection between the Boreal Spring Southern Oscillation Persistence Barrier and Biennial Variability," by A. J. Clarke and S. Van Gorder. J. Clim., 13, 665-667. (pdf)

Loschnigg, J. and P. J. Webster, 2000: A coupled ocean-atmosphere system of SST regulation for the Indian Ocean. J. Clim., 13, 3342-3360. (pdf)

Clark, C. O., J. E. Cole and P. J. Webster, 2000: ndian Ocean SST and Indian Summer Rainfall: Predictive Relationships and Their Decadal Variability. J. Clim., 13, 2503-2519. (pdf)

1999

Webster, P. J., A. Moore, J. Loschnigg and M. Leban, 1999: Coupled ocean-atmosphere dynamics in the Indian Ocean during 1997-98. Nature, 401, 23 September, 1999, 356-360. (pdf)

Torrence, C. and P. J. Webster, 1999: Interdecadal changes in the ENSO-Monsoon System. J. Clim., 12, 2679-2690. (pdf)

Fasullo, J. T. and P. J. Webster, 1999: Warm pool sea surface temperature variability in relation to the surface energy balance. J. Clim., 12, 1292-1305. (pdf)

Duane, G., P. J. Webster and J. Weiss, 1999: Co-occurrence of northern and southern hemisphere blocks as partially synchronized chaos. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 4183-4205. (pdf)

Curry, J. A., C. A. Clayson, W. B. Rossow, R. Reeder, Y. C. Zhang, P. J. Webster, G. Liu and R. S. Sheu, 1999: High-resolution satellite-derived dataset of the surface fluxes of heat, freshwater and momentum for the TOGA COARE IOP. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 80, 2059-2080. (pdf)

Tomas, R., J. R. Holton and P. J. Webster, 1999: The influence of cross-equatorial pressure gradient on the location of near-equatorial convection. Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 1107-1127. (pdf)

1998

Hendersen-Sellers, A., H. Zhang, G. Berz, K. Emanuel, W. Gray, C. Landsea, G. Holland, J. Lighthill, S. Shieh, P. Webster and K. McGriffuie, 1998: Tropical Cyclones and Global Change: A Post-IPCC Assessment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79, 19-38. (pdf)

Torrence, C. and P. J. Webster, 1998: The Annual Cycle of Persistence in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. Q. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 124, 1985-2004. (Draft - pdf) (Draft - ps)

Anderson, D. L. T., E. S. Sarachik and P. J. Webster, 1998: The TOGA decade: a preface. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 14,167. (pdf)

Compo, G., G. Kilidas and P. Webster, 1998: The horizontal and vertical structure of east Asian Winter Monsoon pressure surges. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 125, 29-54. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., V. O. Magana, T. N. Palmer, J. Shukla, R. A. Tomas, M. Yanai and T. Yasunari, 1998: Monsoons: Processes, predictability,and the prospects for prediction J. Geophys. Res. vol. 103 no. c7 (TOGA special issue), June 29, 14451-14510. (Manuscript - pdf) (pdf)

1997

Webster, P. J. and H.- R. Chang, 1997: Atmospheric wave propagation in heterogeneous flow: Basic flow constraints on tropical-extratropical interaction and equatorial wave modification. Dyn. Oceans and Atmos., 27, 91-134. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and T. N. Palmer, 1997: The past and future El Niño. Nature, December 12, 390, 562-564. (pdf) (pdf) (pdf)

Tomas, R. and P. J. Webster, 1997: The role of inertial instability in determining the location and strenght of near-equatorial convection: . Quar. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 123, 1445-1482. (pdf)

1996

Wainer, I. and P. J. Webster, 1996: Monsoon-ENSO relationships in a simple coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. Geophys. Res., 101, 25,599-25,614. (pdf)

Webster, P. J., C. A. Clayson and J. A. Curry, 1996: Clouds, radiation and the diurnal cycle of sea surface temperature in the tropical western Pacific Ocean. J. Clim., 9, 1712-1730. (pdf)

1995

Chang, H-. R. and P. J. Webster, 1995: Energy Accumulation and Emanation at Low Latitudes. Part III: Forward and Backward Accumulation. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 2384-2403. (pdf)

Gosnell, R., C. Fairall and P. Webster, 1995: The Sensible Heat of Rain. J. Geophys. Res., 100, 18437-18442. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. , 1995: The annual cycle and the predictability of the tropical coupled ocean-atmosphere system. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 56, 33-55. (pdf)

1994

Tomas, R. and P. J. Webster, 1994: Vertical and Horizontal Structure of Cross-equatorial Wave Propagation. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 1417-1430. (pdf)

Reynolds, C., P. J. Webster and E. Kalnay, 1994: Random error growth in the numerical prediction models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 1281-1305. (pdf)

Webster, P. , 1994: The Role of Hydrological Processes in Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction. Rev. of Geophys., 32, 427-476. (pdf)

1993

Srinivasan, J., S. Gadgil and P. J. Webster, 1993: Meridional Propagation of Large-Scale Monsoon Convective Zones. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 52, 15-35. (pdf)

1992

Zhang, C. and P. J. Webster, 1992: Laterally Forced Equatorial Waves in Mean Zonal Flows. Part I: Stationary Transient Forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 49, 585-607. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and R. Lukas, 1992: OGA-COARE: The Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Response Experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73, 1377-1416. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and S. Yang, 1992: Monsoon and ENSO: Selectively Interactive Systems. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 118, 877-926. (pdf)

Yang, S., P. J. Webster and M. Dong, 1992: Longitudinal Heating Gradient: Another possible factor influencing the intensity of the Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 9, 397-410. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and M. Dong, 1992: The Structure of Low Frequency Phenomena in the Tropics and Its Interactions with the Extratropics. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 10, 303-334. (pdf)

1991

Webster, P. J. and R. A. Houze Jr., 1991: The Equatorial Mesoscale Experiment, EMEX. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 72, 1481-1505. (pdf)

1990

Chang, H. -R. and P. J. Webster, 1990: Energy Accumulation and Emanation at Low Latitudes. Part II: Nonlinear Response to Strong Episodic Forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 2624-2644. (pdf)

1989

Zhang, C. and P. J. Webster, 1989: Effects of Zonal Flows on the Equatorially Trapped Waves. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 3632-3652. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and S. Yang, 1989: The Three-Dimensional Structure of Perturbation Kinetic Energy and Its Relationship to the Zonal Wind. J. Clim., 2, 1186-1198. (pdf)

1988

Webster, P. J. and H. -R. Chang, 1988: Energy Accumulation and Emanation Regions at Low Latitudes: Impacts of a Zonally Varying Basic State. J. Atmos. Sci. , 45, 803-829. (pdf)

Frederiksen, J. S. and P. J. Webster, 1988: lternative Theories of Teleconnections and Low Frequency Fluctuations. Rev. Geophys., 26, 459-494. (pdf)

1986

Trenberth, K., H. van Loon, M. Cane, J. M. Wallace, J. Young, O. Brown, G. Rasmusson, P. J. Webster and T. Barnett, 1986: On 'El Nino'. Scientific American, 257, 6-7. (pdf)

1985

Arkin, P. and P. J. Webster, 1985: Annual and Interannual Variability of Tropical-Extratropical Interactions: An Empirical Study. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 1510-1523. (pdf)

1984

Stephens, G. L. and P. J. Webster, 1984: Cloud Decoupling of the Surface and Planetary Radiative Budgets. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 681-686. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. , 1984: he Climate-CO2 Controversy: Some Personal Comments. Climatic Change, 6, 377-390. (pdf)

1983

Webster, P. J. , 1983: Mechanisms of Monsoon Transition: Surface Hydrology Effects. . Atmos. Sci., 40, 2110-2124. (pdf)

1982

Webster, P. J. and J. R. Holton, 1982: Wave Propagation Through a Zonally Varying Basic Flow: The Influences of Mid-Latitude Forcing in the Equatorial Regions J. Atmos. Sci., 39, 722-733 (pdf)

Webster, P. J. , 1982: Seasonality of Atmospheric Response to Sea-Surface Temperature Anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci., 39, 29-40. (pdf)

1981

Webster, P. J. , 1981: Monsoon. Scientific American, 108.118. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. , 1981: Mechanisms Determining the Atmospheric Response to Large-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 554-571. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and N. A. Streten, 1981: Comments on "The Surface Circulation of the Indian Ocean During the Last Glacial Maximum, Approximately 18,000 Yr. B.P." Quat. Res. 16, 421-423. (pdf)

Stephens, G. L. and P. J. Webster, 1981: Clouds and Climate: Sensitivity of Simple Systems. J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 235-245. (pdf)

1980

Webster, P. J. and G. L. Stephens, 1980: Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Extended Clouds: Inferences from Winter MONEX. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 1521-1541. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and L. C. Chou, 1980: Seasonal Structure of a Simple Monsoon System. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 354-367. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and L. C. Chou, 1980: Low-Frequency Transitions of a Simple Monsoon System. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 368-382. (pdf)

1979

Stephens, G. L. and P. J. Webster, 1979: Sensitivity of Radiative Forcing to Variable Cloud and Moisture. J. Atmos. Sci., 36, 1542-1556. (pdf)

1978

Webster, P. J. , 1978: Lateral Effects on Monsoon Systems. Indian Journal of Meteorology, Hydrology and Geophysics, 29, 235-244. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and N. A. Streten, 1978: Late Quaternary Ice-Age Climates of Tropical Australasia: Interpretations and Reconstructions. Quat. Res., 10, 279-309. (pdf)

1977

Webster, P. J. and K. M. W. Lau, 1977: A Simple Ocean-Atmosphere Climate Model: Basic Model and a Simple Experiment. J. Atmos. Sci., 34, 1065-1084 . (pdf)

Webster, P. J. , 1977: The Low-Latitude Circulation of Mars. ICARUS, 30, 626-664. (pdf) (Abstract - pdf)

Webster, P. J., K. M. W. Lau and L. C. Chou, 1977: Mechanisms Affecting the State, Evolution and Transition of the Planetary Scale Monsoon. PAGEOPH, 5, 1463-1492. (pdf)

1976

Leovy, C. B. and P. J. Webster, 1976: Stratospheric Long Waves: Comparisons of Thermal Structure in the Northern and Southern Hemisphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 33, 1141-1154. (pdf) (Comments by D. Hartmann) (Reply)

1975

Webster, P. J. and J. L. Keller, 1975: Atmospheric Variations, Vacillation and Index Cycles. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 1283-1300. (pdf)

Webster, P. J. and D. G. Curtin, 1975: Interpretation of the EOLE Experiment: (II) Spatial Variation of Stationary and Transient Modes. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 1848-1863. (pdf)

1974

Webster, P. J. and J. L. Keller, 1974: A Strong Long-Period Tropospheric and Stratospheric Rhythm in the Southern Hemisphere. Nature, 248, 212-213. (Full text - pdf)

Webster, P. J. and D. G. Curtin, 1974: Interpretations of the EOLE Experiment: (I) Temporal Variations of Eulerian Quantities. J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 1860 -1875. (pdf)

1973

Webster, P. J. , 1973: Temporal Variation of Low-Latitude Zonal Circulations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 101, 793-806. (Full text - pdf) (Abstract - pdf)

Webster, P. J. , 1973: Remote Forcing of the Time-Independent Tropical Atmosphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 101, 58-68. (Full text - pdf) (Abstract - pdf)

1972

Webster, P. J. , 1972: Response of the Tropical Atmosphere to Local Steady Forcing. Mon. Wea. Rev., 100, 518-541. (Full text - pdf) (Abstract - pdf)